Emmys: Drama Series – New Voting Method Creates Unknown X Factors in the Race

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Drama Series

Weekly Commentary (Updated: June 15, 2023): Ballots are now in the hands of the members of the Television Academy, and a new voting method that limits the number of shows a member can vote for has created uncertainty in the race.

This is a change from the rule that was instated in 2017 that gave members unlimited choices in the nomination round of voting.

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In drama, the submissions include freshman series such as HBO’s “The Last of Us,” Disney’s “Andor” and FX’s “The Old Man,” along with the final seasons of HBO’s “Succession” and AMC’s “Better Call Saul.” The 163 entries compared to last year’s 171, as well as 133 in 2021 and the record of 199 in 2020.

The Emmys love their returning shows, especially those who have been crowned (no pun intended) previously. Netflix’s “The Crown” has been consistently projected to be among the eight shows recognized by pundits, despite viewers feeling “uninspired” by the season. Hulu’s “The Handmaid’s Tale” could also pop up after winning in 2017, but is also hoping to shake off the record for most losses for a show in a season (going 0 for 21) that it set in 2021.

Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.

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And the Predicted Nominees Are:


  1. Succession” (HBO)
  2. The White Lotus” (HBO)
  3. The Last of Us” (HBO)
  4. Better Call Saul” (AMC)
  5. The Crown” (Netflix)
  6. Andor” (Disney+)
  7. House of the Dragon” (HBO)
  8. Yellowjackets” (Showtime)

Next in Line


  1. The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
  2. 1923” (Paramount+)

Other Top-Tier Possibilities


  1. The Old Man” (FX)
  2. Bad Sisters” (Apple TV+)
  3. The Diplomat” (Netflix)
  4. The Boys” (Prime Video)
  5. Yellowstone” (Paramount Network)
  6. The Mandalorian” (Disney+)
  7. The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power” (Prime Video)
  8. Queen Charlotte: A Bridgerton Story” (Netflix)
  9. P Valley” (Starz)
  10. Grey’s Anatomy” (ABC)

All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**


  • Alaska Daily” (ABC)
  • Big Sky: Deadly Trails” (ABC)
  • The Company You Keep” (ABC)
  • The Good Doctor” (ABC)
  • Grey’s Anatomy” (ABC)
  • A Million Little Things” (ABC)
  • The Rookie” (ABC)
  • The Rookie Feds” (ABC)
  • Station 19” (ABC)
  • Will Trent” (ABC)
  • Anne Rice’s Interview with the Vampire” (AMC)
  • Anne Rice’s Mayfair Witches” (AMC)
  • Better Call Saul” (AMC)
  • Dark Winds” (AMC)
  • The Walking Dead” (AMC)
  • Bad Sisters” (Apple TV+)
  • City on Fire” (Apple TV+)
  • Dear Edward” (Apple TV+)
  • Echo 3” (Apple TV+)
  • For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)
  • Liaison” (Apple TV+)
  • The Mosquito Coast” (Apple TV+)
  • See” (Apple TV+)
  • Servant” (Apple TV+)
  • Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
  • Sugar” (Apple TV+)
  • Surface” (Apple TV+)
  • Truth Be Told” (Apple TV+)
  • Blue Bloods” (CBS)
  • CSI: Vegas” (CBS)
  • East New York” (CBS)
  • The Equalizer” (CBS)
  • Fire Country” (CBS)
  • Magnum P.I.” (CBS)
  • NCIS” (CBS)
  • NCIS: Hawai’i” (CBS)
  • NCIS: Los Angeles” (CBS)
  • Seal Team” (CBS)
  • S.W.A.T.” (CBS)
  • All American” (The CW)
  • All American: Homecoming” (The CW)
  • DC’s Stargirl” (The CW)
  • Firefly Lane” (The CW)
  • The Flash” (The CW)
  • Gotham Knights” (The CW)
  • Kung Fu” (The CW)
  • Pennyworth: The Origin of Batman’s Butler” (The CW)
  • Riverdale” (The CW)
  • Roswell, New Mexico” (The CW)
  • Superman & Lois” (The CW)
  • Titans” (The CW)
  • Walker” (The CW)
  • Walker: Independence” (The CW)
  • Andor” (Disney+)
  • The Mandalorian” (Disney+)
  • Willow” (Disney+)
  • 9-1-1” (Fox)
  • 9-1-1: Lonestar” (Fox)
  • Alert: Missing Persons Unit” (Fox)
  • The Cleaning Lady” (Fox)
  • Panhandle” (Fox)
  • The Resident” (Fox)
  • High School” (Freevee)
  • Good Trouble” (Freeform)
  • Motherland: Fort Salem” (Freeform)
  • The Watchful Eye” (Freeform)
  • Kindred” (FX)
  • The Old Man” (FX)
  • Snowfall” (FX)
  • The Way Home” (Hallmark)
  • Doom Patrol” (HBO)
  • Gossip Girl” (HBO)
  • House of the Dragon” (HBO)
  • His Dark Materials” (HBO)
  • Industry” (HBO)
  • The Last of Us” (HBO)
  • Perry Mason” (HBO)
  • Pretty Little Liars: Original Sin” (HBO)
  • Succession” (HBO)
  • Westworld” (HBO)
  • The White Lotus” (HBO)
  • The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
  • The Orville: New Horizons” (Hulu)
  • Reasonable Doubt” (Hulu)
  • Saint X” (Hulu)
  • Tell Me Lies” (Hulu)
  • Wu-Tang: An American Saga” (Hulu)
  • Love Undone” (JG Productions)
  • From” (MGM+)
  • Godfather of Harlem” (MGM+)
  • Vikings: Valhalla” (MGM+)
  • The Blacklist” (NBC)
  • Chicago Fire” (NBC)
  • Chicago Med” (NBC)
  • Chicago P.D.” (NBC)
  • FBI” (NBC)
  • FBI: International” (NBC)
  • FBI: Most Wanted” (NBC)
  • Law & Order” (NBC)
  • Law & Order: Organized Crime” (NBC)
  • Law & Order: Special Victims Unit” (NBC)
  • New Amsterdam” (NBC)
  • Quantum Leap” (NBC)
  • 1899” (Netflix)
  • The Crown” (Netflix)
  • The Diplomat” (Netflix)
  • Ginny & Georgia” (Netflix)
  • Lockwood & Co.” (Netflix)
  • Manifest” (Netflix)
  • The Night Agent” (Netflix)
  • Outer Banks” (Netflix)
  • Queen Charlotte: A Bridgerton Story” (Netflix)
  • The Sandman” (Netflix)
  • Shadow & Bone” (Netflix)
  • The Umbrella Academy” (Netflix)
  • You” (Netflix)
  • All Rise” (OWN)
  • Queen Sugar” (OWN)
  • 1923” (Paramount+)
  • Criminal Minds: Evolution” (Paramount+)
  • Evil” (Paramount+)
  • Fatal Attraction” (Paramount+)
  • The Good Fight” (Paramount+)
  • Halo” (Paramount+)
  • Mayor of Kingstown” (Paramount+)
  • Peaky Blinders” (Netflix)
  • Rabbit Hole” (Paramount+)
  • School Spirits” (Paramount+)
  • Shantaram” (Paramount+)
  • Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+)
  • Star Trek: Picard” (Paramount+)
  • Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)
  • Wolf Pack” (Paramount+)
  • Yellowstone” (Paramount Network)
  • Bel-Air” (Peacock)
  • The Calling” (Peacock)
  • One of Us is Lying” (Peacock)
  • Queer as Folk” (Peacock)
  • Vampire Academy” (Peacock)
  • The Boys” (Prime Video)
  • Citadel” (Prime Video)
  • Hunters” (Prime Video)
  • The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power” (Prime Video)
  • Paper Girls” (Prime Video)
  • The Peripheral” (Prime Video)
  • The Power” (Prime Video)
  • Riches” (Prime Video)
  • The Summer I Turned Pretty” (Prime Video)
  • The Terminal List” (Prime Video)
  • Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan” (Prime Video)
  • Three Pines” (Prime Video)
  • The Chi” (Showtime)
  • The L Word: Generation Q” (Showtime)
  • Waco: The Aftermath” (Showtime)
  • Your Honor” (Showtime)
  • Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
  • BMF” (Starz)
  • Dangerous Liaisons” (Starz)
  • P Valley” (Starz)
  • Power Book II: Ghost” (Starz)
  • Power Book III: Raising Kanan” (Starz)
  • The Serpent Queen” (Starz)
  • Chucky” (Syfy)
  • Animal Kingdom” (TNT)

** This official list and/or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.

2022 category winner: “Succession” (HBO) — Season 3 — Jesse Armstrong, Adam McKay, Will Ferrell, Frank Rich, Kevin Messick, Mark Mylod, Jane Tranter, Tony Roche, Scott Ferguson, Jon Brown, Lucy Prebble, Will Tracy (executive producers); Georgia Pritchett, Ted Cohen (co-executive producers); Susan Soon He Stanton, Dara Schnapper (supervising producers); Gabrielle Mahon (produced by); Francesca Gardiner (consulting producer)

Emmy Awards Predictions Categories

DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)

Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories

GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES

About the Primetime Emmy Awards

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.

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