Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
UPDATED: June 8, 2023
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or TV Movie
Weekly Commentary: Evan Peters has long been considered the front-runner for his work as serial killer Jeffrey Dahmer in Ryan Murphy’s hit Netflix series “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story.” However, the joy and talents of Daniel Radcliffe are being celebrated with his performance in “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story,” a parody of the legendary musician. New to the Emmy landscape, The Roku Channel is putting all its available resources into ensuring the movie, which premiered in Toronto last September, isn’t forgotten.
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Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- Evan Peters — “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
- Daniel Radcliffe — “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)
- Taron Egerton — “Black Bird” (Apple TV+)
- Michael Shannon — “George & Tammy” (Showtime)
- Steven Yeun — “Beef” (Netflix)
- Jesse Eisenberg — “Fleishman is in Trouble” (FX)
Next in Line
- Steve Carell — “The Patient” (Hulu)
- Justin Theroux — “White House Plumbers” (HBO)
- Sam Claflin — “Daisy Jones and the Six” (Prime Video)
- Ben Whishaw — “This is Going to Hurt” (AMC)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- Ewan McGregor — “Obi-Wan Kenobi” (Disney+)
- Woody Harrelson — “White House Plumbers” (HBO)
- Trevante Rhodes — “Mike” (Hulu)
- Joel Kim Booster — “Fire Island” (Hulu)
- Kumail Nanjiani — “Welcome to Chippendales” (Hulu)
- Fionn Whitehead — “Great Expectations” (Hulu)
- Nikolaj Coster-Waldau — “The Last Thing He Told Me” (Apple TV+)
- Josh Duhamel — “Shotgun Wedding” (Prime Video)
- Damian Lewis — “A Spy Among Friends” (MGM+)
- Andy Garcia — “Father of the Bride” (HBO)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
- Josh Groban — “Beauty and the Beast: A 30th Celebration” (ABC)
- Ben Whishaw — “This is Going to Hurt” (AMC)
- Taron Egerton — “Black Bird” (Apple TV+)
- Nikolaj Coster-Waldau — “The Last Thing He Told Me” (Apple TV+)
- Patrick Dempsey — “Disenchanted” (Disney+)
- Tom Hanks — “Disney’s Pinocchio” (Disney+)
- Ewan McGregor — “Obi-Wan Kenobi” (Disney+)
- Jesse Eisenberg — “Fleishman is in Trouble” (FX)
- Andy Garcia — “Father of the Bride” (HBO)
- Woody Harrelson — “White House Plumbers” (HBO)
- Justin Theroux — “White House Plumbers” (HBO)
- Joel Kim Booster — “Fire Island” (Hulu)
- Fionn Whitehead — “Great Expectations” (Hulu)
- Trevante Rhodes — “Mike” (Hulu)
- Steve Carell — “The Patient” (Hulu)
- Kumail Nanjiani — “Welcome to Chippendales” (Hulu)
- Alexander Skarsgård — “Documentary Now!” (IFC)
- Jamie Demetriou — “Documentary Now!” (IFC)
- Trystan Gravelle — “Documentary Now!” (IFC)
- Damian Lewis — “A Spy Among Friends” (MGM+)
- Guy Pearce — “A Spy Among Friends” (MGM+)
- Liev Schreiber — “A Small Light” (National Geographic)
- Steven Yeun — “Beef” (Netflix)
- F. Murray Abraham — “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- Ben Barnes — “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- Crispin Glover — “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- Rupert Grint — “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- David Hewlett — “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- Andrew Lincoln — “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- Tim Blake Nelson — “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- Peter Weller — “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- Evan Peters — “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
- Rob Lowe — “Dog Gone” (Netflix)
- Eugenio Mastrandrea — “From Scratch” (Netflix)
- Giancarlo Esposito – “Kaleidoscope” (Netflix)
- Alexander Dreymon — “Last Kingdom: Seven Kings Must Die” (Netflix)
- Justin Hartley — “The Noel Diary” (Netflix)
- Bobby Cannavale — “The Watcher” (Netflix)
- Laurence O’Fuarain — “The Witcher: Blood Origin” (Netflix)
- Gaten Matarazzo — “Honor Society” (Paramount+)
- Bryan Cranston — “Jerry and Marge Go Large” (Paramount+)
- Thomas Lennon — “Reno 911: It’s a Wonderful Heist” (Paramount+)
- Tyler Posey — “Teen Wolf: The Movie” (Paramount+)
- Solly McLeod — “Tom Jones: Masterpiece” (PBS)
- Colin Hanks — “A Friend of the Family” (Peacock)
- Jake Lacy — “A Friend of the Family” (Peacock)
- Matthew Fox — “Last Light” (Peacock)
- Pete Davidson — “Meet Cute” (Peacock)
- Sam Claflin — “Daisy Jones and the Six” (Prime Video)
- Chaske Spencer — “The English” (Prime Video)
- Ben Platt — “The People We Hate at the Wedding” (Prime Video)
- Sylvester Stallone — “Samaritan” (Prime Video)
- Josh Duhamel — “Shotgun Wedding” (Prime Video)
- Jay Ellis — “Somebody I Used to Know” (Prime Video)
- Kendrick Sampson — “Something from Tiffany’s” (Prime Video)
- Daniel Radcliffe — “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)
- Michael Shannon — “George & Tammy” (Showtime)
** This list or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: Michael Keaton, “Dopesick” (Hulu)
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.
