Emmy Predictions: Reality Categories – #Scandoval Creates ‘Vanderpump’ Awards Contender; ‘Love Is Blind’ Hosts Backlash May Help Campaign

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

UPDATED: June 13, 2023

2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Unstructured Reality Program

VANDERPUMP RULES — Pictured: (l-r) Tom Sandoval, Lala Kent — (Photo by: Casey Durkin/Bravo)Courtesy of Casey Durkin/Bravo

Weekly Commentary: The #Scandoval drama has taken the social media world by storm, and that’s surely trickled down to TV Academy voters. Bravo’s “Vanderpump Rules” could sneak into the lineup for the first time, similar to the surprise nom for its network counterpart “Below Deck.” Talk about a ratings surge for the Primetime Emmys (can you just imagine?)

However, it must still battle the reigning champion, “RuPaul’s Drag Race: Untucked” from MTV and “Selling Sunset” from Netflix who are popular with the Academy.

Read: 

Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.


And the Predicted Nominees Are:


  1. RuPaul’s Drag Race: Untucked” (MTV)
  2. Vanderpump Rules” (Bravo)
  3. Welcome to Wrexham” (FX)
  4. Life Below Zero” (National Geographic)
  5. Selling Sunset” (Netflix)

Next in Line


  1. Below Deck: Sailing Yacht” (Bravo)
  2. 90 Day Fiancé” (TLC)
  3. Deadliest Catch” (Discovery)
  4. Married at First Sight” (Lifetime)
  5. Intervention” (A&E)

Other Top-Tier Possibilities


  1. The Kardashians” (Hulu)
  2. Crikey! It’s the Irwins” (Discovery+)
  3. The Real Housewives of Miami” (Peacock)
  4. The Real Housewives Ultimate Girls Trip” (Peacock)
  5. Formula 1: Drive to Survive” (Netflix)
  6. Following: Bretman Rock” (MTV)
  7. Family Karma” (Bravo)
  8. Million Dollar Listing Los Angeles” (Bravo)
  9. Running Wild With Bear Grylls: The Challenge” (National Geographic)
  10. Life Below Zero: First Alaskans” (National Geographic)

Other Eligible Titles (Alphabetical Order)

“AEW: All Access” (HBO); “Break Point” (Netflix); “The Come Up” (Freeform); “Critter Fixers: Country Vets” (National Geographic); “The D’Amelio Show” (Hulu); “The Expats International Ingrams” (Purpose); “House of Ho” (HBO); “Love Trip: Paris” (Freeform); “Los Montaners” (Disney+); “Sweet Life: Los Angeles” (HBO); “Wahl Street” (HBO)



2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Structured Reality Program

Orna in COUPLES THERAPY, “Episode 1”. Photo Credit: Courtesy of SHOWTIME.Courtesy of SHOWTIME

Weekly Commentary: Showtime has successfully petitioned the Television Academy to switch its Emmy submission for the acclaimed docuseries “Couples Therapy” to this category, and it could find its way into the lineup (deservingly). The same goes for Guy Fieri’s “Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives” which could make a comeback after three years.

Read: 

Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.


And the Predicted Nominees Are:


  1. Queer Eye” (Netflix)
  2. Love is Blind” (Netflix)
  3. Shark Tank” (ABC)
  4. Couples Therapy” (Showtime)
  5. Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives” (Food Network)

Next in Line


  1. Bar Rescue” (Paramount Network)
  2. Magnolia Table with Joanna Gaines” (Magnolia Network)
  3. The Gentle Art of Swedish Death Cleaning” (Peacock)
  4. Special Forces World’s Toughest Test” (Fox)
  5. We’re Here” (HBO)

Other Top-Tier Possibilities


  1. José Andrés and Family in Spain” (Discovery+)
  2. Selena + Chef” (HBO)
  3. Geography of Bliss with Rainn Wilson” (Peacock)
  4. Who Do You Think You Are?” (NBC)
  5. Cesar Millan: Better Human Better Dog” (National Geographic)

Other Eligible Titles (Alphabetical Order)

“101 Places to Party Before You Die” (TruTV)


2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Reality Competition Program

RuPaul’s Drag Race Top 4bottom center: Sasha Velour (winner)center: Trinity Taylor, Peppermint, Shea CouleeCourtesy of VH1

Weekly Commentary: Last year’s winner “Lizzo’s Watch Out for the Big Grrrls” did not return this year which leaves the opening for “RuPaul’s Drag Race” to reclaim its crown. That’s if former winners “Top Chef” from Bravo, “The Voice” from NBC or “The Amazing Race” from CBS don’t come back for another winning trip.

Read: 

Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.


And the Predicted Nominees Are:


  1. RuPaul’s Drag Race” (VH1)
  2. Top Chef” (Bravo)
  3. The Voice” (NBC)
  4. The Amazing Race” (CBS)
  5. The Circle” (Netflix)

Next in Line


  1. Nailed It: Halloween” (Netflix)
  2. Survivor” (CBS)
  3. Dancing with the Stars” (Disney+)
  4. My Kind of Country” (Apple TV+)
  5. Chopped” (Food Network)

Other Top-Tier Possibilities


  1. The Masked Singer” (Fox)
  2. The Traitors” (Peacock)
  3. The Climb” (HBO)
  4. Making the Cut” (Prime Video)
  5. Floor is Lava” (Netflix)
  6. America’s Got Talent” (NBC)
  7. Tough as Nails” (CBS)
  8. Baking It” (Peacock)
  9. Pickled” (CBS)
  10. Crime Scene Kitchen” (Fox)

Other Eligible Titles (Alphabetical Order)

“Alone” (History); “America’s Test Kitchen: The Next Generation” (Prime Video); “The Bachelor” (ABC); “The Bachelorette” (ABC); “The Big Bunch” (HBO); “Bobby’s Triple Threat” (Food Network); “The Boulet Brothers’ Dragula Titans” (AMC); “Ciao House” (Food Network); “The Climb” (HBO); “Dancing With Myself” (NBC); “Drag Me to Dinner” (Hulu); “Dr. Seuss Baking Challenge” (Prime Video); “The Great American Baking Show” (The Roku Channel); “Love Island” (Peacock); “Outlast” (Netflix); “Race to Survive Alaska” (USA); “Tournament of Champions” (Food Network); “Ugliest House in America” (HGTV)


2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Reality Competition Host

Love is Blind. (L to R) Nick Lachey, Vanessa Lachey at Sunset Bronson Studios for the Love is Blind season 4 reunion. Cr. Adam Rose/Netflix © 2023ADAM ROSE/NETFLIX

Weekly Commentary: We’ve learned some things from the Emmys over the past few years. The more controversy a show or contender has, the better for its nomination chances (see: “Emily in Paris” and all of Dave Chappelle’s noms and wins).

Married couple Nick and Vanessa Lachey received much backlash from the “Love is Blind” live (-ish) reunion on Netflix. Still, does that mean the show or the hosts can’t get nominated for an Emmy? Of course, it doesn’t. What’s an Emmy season without controversial mentions? They could be it.

Read: 

Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.


And the Predicted Nominees Are:


  1. RuPaul’s Drag Race” (VH1) — RuPaul
  2. Queer Eye” (Netflix) — Bobby Berk, Karamo Brown, Tan Frace, Antoni Porowski, Jonathan Van Ness
  3. Top Chef” (Bravo) — Padma Lakshmi
  4. Shark Tank” (ABC) — Mark Cuban, Barbara Corcoran, Lori Greiner, Robert Herjavec, Daymond John, Kevin O’Leary
  5. Love is Blind” (Netflix) — Vanessa Lachey, Nick Lachey

Next in Line


  1. American Idol” (ABC) — Ryan Seacrest
  2. The Voice” (NBC) — Carson Daly
  3. The Amazing Race” (CBS) — Phil Keoghan
  4. Survivor” (CBS) — Jeff Probst
  5. Alex vs. America” (Food Network) — Alex Guarnaschelli

Other Top-Tier Possibilities


  1. Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives” (Food Network) — Guy Fieri
  2. Chopped” (Food Network) — Ted Allen
  3. The Traitors” (Peacock) — Alan Cumming
  4. Nailed It: Halloween” (Netflix) — Nicole Byer
  5. Bobby’s Triple Threat” (Food Network) — Bobby Flay
  6. Ciao House” (Food Network) — Alex Guarnaschelli & Gabriele Bertaccini
  7. Trixie Motel” (Discovery+) — Trixie Mattel
  8. Selena + Chef” (HBO) — Selena Gomez
  9. Press Your Luck” (ABC) — Elizabeth Banks

Emmy Awards Predictions Categories

DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)

Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories

GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES

About the Primetime Emmy Awards

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.

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